CIO Archive

Results: 196 Matches

12-Jul-24 Currencies

Yen to dollar at its weakest level since 1986

Short-term we see only a small chance of a sustainable countermove

Central banks, Interest rates
28-Jul-23 Macro

When politics no longer shock

We draw some broad lessons from Spain’s inconclusive elections on how to think about politics in Southern Europe since the 2008 global financial crisis.

Macro
08-Mar-24 Americas

When not to fuss over wage growth

Recent strong wage growth among lowly paid, young job switchers may reflect them moving into potentially more productive jobs. Such gains need not be inflationary.

Americas
10-Feb-23 Eurozone

When monetary policy gets complicated

Market participants appear to feel far more certain than the ECB itself that they already know what interest rates will be appropriate. We try to explain why.

Central banks, Americas, Interest rates
20-Jan-23 Central banks

When it makes sense (not) to “fight the Fed”

Last year was unusual in market participants proving quite prescient in predicting U.S. interest rates. Paradoxically, that probably makes a repeat in 2023 less likely.

Central banks, Americas, Interest rates
28-Apr-23 Interest rates

What U.S. interest rates are (and aren’t) telling us

According to futures markets, investors expect Fed rate cuts starting in September. We think this prediction should be taken with a grain of salt.

Central banks, Americas, Macro
27-Mar-24 CIO Special

Value vs. Growth

By: Björn Jesch

Strong performance of the "Magnificent Seven" has pushed value stocks into the background - wrongly so?

Macro, Equities
17-Nov-23 Americas

Unloved U.S. banks

Compared to the overall market, the U.S. bank sector is bobbling around near its record lows. Rightly so, we say, because banks don’t offer much to please shareholders.

Americas
21-Jul-23 Macro

Unbearable weight of heavyweights

Nasdaq adjusting the weights of its index because the Big 7 have become too big. This is not only bad for investors, but also the free market.

Inflation
20-Mar-23 CIO Flash

UBS to take over Credit Suisse

Immediate concerns alleviated, new concerns arise

Inflation, Macro, Fixed Income
08-May-24 Macro

U.S. Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Why the Fed will cut rates – sooner or maybe later.

Macro
17-Jan-24 Macro

U.S. Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Next stop lower rates? Not so fast, hopefully!

Macro
25-Sep-23 Central banks

U.S. Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Soft landing or soft recession?

Central banks, Macro, Americas
17-May-23 Central banks

U.S. Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Slowing down the U.S. Economy

Central banks, Macro
03-Mar-23 Macro

U.S. Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Labor market tightness and its implications for monetary policy

Macro
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