| Date |
Individual investor |
Registered professional |
December 19, 2024
Stocking Stuffers: Beyond our big macro views and forecasts
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November 19, 2024
Valuation under Trump: Optimism, scenarios, segmentation, flexible forecasts
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November 12, 2024
Trump returns: Priorities are growth and winning
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October 17, 2024
Last days to price best of all possibilities: Tough decisions after the elections
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September 09, 2024
Clear for landing: Coming in steep, adjusting monetary and fiscal thrusters |
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July 01, 2024
U.S. Elections 2024 & Fiscal Repair: Taxes, tariffs or a third choice?
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June 17, 2024
The AI speed train accelerates: Look far ahead, watch your speed
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June 06, 2024
Summer portfolio: Strong sun with fading liquidity, apply sunscreen
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May 14, 2024
Surging AI capex: Macro implications of its size and return on investment?
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Mar 18, 2024
New S&P 500 target of 5300: A.I. lives and it needs food and shelter
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Feb 23, 2024
The end of macro?: Some companies are so big they are the macro
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Jan 16, 2024
Equity wealth and inflation: What would Milton Friedman say?
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Dec 14, 2023
2024 Outlook: Long live this faint cycle or bumps toward a new one?
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Oct 30, 2023
Different leagues: Great Eight vs. great expectations, S&P 492 vs. bonds
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Oct 04, 2023
What interest rate will bring fiscal discipline to Washington?
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Sep 19, 2023
Not Goldilocks for Stocks: Job market still too hot, profit growth still too cold
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Aug 16, 2023
Exploring other schools of thought: All schools out for summer?
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Jul 25, 2023
Growth at any price?: Tech investors pay 1999 growth premiums again
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Jun 16, 2023
Capex: A corporate confidence signal Â
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Jun 02, 2023
Stubborn inflation, deteriorating US fiscal health to curb bonds and stocksÂ
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May 30, 2023
No ceiling, no landing: 3-5% inflation cruising altitudeÂ
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May 15, 2023
Surviving tribulations of beta management: Be patient and busy elsewhereÂ
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Apr 24, 2023
Companies are preparing for a recession: How about you?Â
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Mar 29, 2023
Washer set to deep clean: Beware alternating rotations, drain could reopenÂ
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Mar 22, 2023
Getting Past the Panic: Mend capital availability, then capital costsÂ
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Mar 15, 2023
Further tightening required: Fed Funds rate exceeding 5% raises many risksÂ
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Feb 21, 2023
Manufacturing & Digital recession = S&P 500 profit recession, but not for jobs
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Jan 30, 2023
Super profits of 2021-2022: New norms or exceptional circumstances?
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Jan 23, 2023
A long year ahead and opportunity cash now pays interest: Be patient!
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Dec 12, 2022
2023 Outlook: It hinges on how inflation comes down and peace is found
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Nov 15, 2022
The illusions and confusions of inflation: It’s dangerous to let them linger
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Nov 02, 2022
This is scary: Slowing rate hikes risks a higher terminal rate or worse
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Oct 12, 2022
Real yields rise into pre financial crisis range; must recalculate fair PEs
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Sep 27, 2022
PE Risks: Rising rates, falling margins. How normal is 2022 S&P EPS?
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Sep 06, 2022
Capex as long-term prospects signal: Boom at digital, not physical industries |
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Aug 24, 2022
Further Fed tightening and small recession ahead limit equity upside |
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Jul 19, 2022
Fed is taking elevator up, S&P EPS will take stairs down |
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Jul 04, 2022
The pre pandemic rollback: Where justified, overdone or more to go |
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