CIO Archive

Results: 208 Matches

17-Sep-24 Macro

U.S Economic Outlook

By: Christian Scherrmann

Time has come to engineer that soft landing.

Macro
28-Jun-24 Macro

Two years of yield curve inversion in the U.S.

Recession looks likely to be avoided this time

Macro
06-Nov-24 CIO Flash

Trump 2.0

Trump trade of recent weeks looks set to continue

Elections
17-Mar-23 ESG

Too few companies use internal water pricing

Far fewer companies use ‘shadow’ internal water prices than carbon prices to guide business decisions.

Central banks, Americas, Macro
05-Aug-24 CIO Special

Time for a change in styles

By: Björn Jesch

Corporate bonds are currently in high demand. Despite already expensive spreads, in our opinion there is no trend reversal to be feared due to a healthy environment.

Financials
19-Jul-24 ESG

The last emissions cuts better be the deepest

Based on current trajectories, Europe’s 2030 greenhouse-gas-emission ambitions are in jeopardy. To meet its targets, Europe needs to dial up decarbonization efforts.

ESG, Europe
15-Dec-23 Consumer discretionary

The German consumer to the rescue

Drivers for German growth are likely to remain scarce in 2024. The notoriously stingy German consumer might help out.

Consumer discretionary
25-Aug-23 Asia & Pacific

The gap between China's growth and profits

Officially published economic figures are regularly criticized, especially when it comes to China. Taking a look at corporate profits shows why.

Equities
06-Sep-24 Central banks

The ECB seems increasingly confident

There are good reasons European monetary policymakers appear increasingly confident of reaching their inflation target of 2% again in the not-too-distant future.

ESG, Macro
13-Mar-23 CIO Flash

The (first?) prominent victim of the 2022 hiking cycle

Will Silicon Valley Bank’s insolvency spill over into broader markets?

Inflation, Macro, Fixed Income
05-May-23 Currencies

That perennial de-dollarization debate

Given how entrenched the greenback’s position is in international trade and finance, this probably won’t be the last debate on de-dollarization.

Central banks, Americas, Macro
24-May-23 Macro

That latest debt-ceiling drama

By: Björn Jesch

We remain confident that a small deal can get struck in time, paving the way for more deals later

Macro
11-Dec-23 Politics

Taxing finances, middling politics

By: Björn Jesch

Look beyond partisan finger pointing. When it comes to U.S. fiscal policy, policymakers are already starting to adjust to the swiftest rate hiking cycle in living memory.

Politics, Central banks, Americas
10-Mar-23 Fixed Income

Tales of the Unexpected

Inflation looks set to remain quite sticky, with more interest rate hikes to come. This makes for a rather challenging environment for many risky assets.

Central banks, Americas, Macro
16-Feb-24 Elections

Tales of the unexpected

Donald Trump’s electoral performance in both 2016 and 2020 suggests that returning to the White House is likely to prove an uphill struggle.

Elections
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