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Europe's retail sector was shaken up by Covid but we see good grounds to believe it is stabilizing, helping European economies in 2H23 along with a growing service sector.
By: Björn Jesch
Our monthly market analysis and positioning
To be politically sustainable, transparency, inclusivity, and fairness must underpin further reforms in Greece, restoring confidence not just among foreign investors.
Artificial intelligence is likely to prove one of the most consequential developments to emerge during our professional lives as asset managers.
Next week the ECB's balance sheet will shrink by over 6%. Further reduction will take place much more slowly – with uncertain consequences for the markets.
By: David Bianco
Capex: A corporate confidence signal
The economic impact of climate change is demonstrated by seeing, feeling and smelling wildfire smoke. Measuring and forecasting all their costs is a lot harder.
Over a twelve-month horizon, we expect decent overall returns across many asset classes despite lackluster economic growth and sticky inflation.
All forecasts at a glance
The relatively calm markets of the past two months should not hide a certain disorientation among investors, reflecting the great uncertainties on the economy and inflation. Dividend stocks may help investors weather economic storms.
Stubborn inflation, deteriorating US fiscal health to curb bonds and stocks
Europe’s bank sector has proven resilient since the Credit Suisse rescue but AT1 bonds have still not fully recovered – making them all the more attractive, in our view.
No ceiling, no landing: 3-5% inflation cruising altitude
How World Bank reforms might help attract more private sector capital, which is urgently needed to meet greenhouse gas emission targets
