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By: Björn Jesch
With inflation likely to remain sticky and unpredictable, both listed and non-listed real estate look like increasingly reasonable alternatives to other asset classes.
By: David Bianco
Getting Past the Panic: Mend capital availability, then capital costs
Our monthly market analysis and positioning
Far fewer companies use ‘shadow’ internal water prices than carbon prices to guide business decisions.
Further tightening required: Fed Funds rate ex-ceeding 5% raises many risks
All forecasts at a glance
We do not expect a bad investment year. But the all-important development of interest rates and inflation could continue to cause surprises.
Inflation looks set to remain quite sticky, with more interest rate hikes to come. This makes for a rather challenging environment for many risky assets.
By: Maria Milina, Richard Marshall
Policies to electrify European roads
The Chinese economy is on track for stronger growth in 2023
By: Christian Scherrmann
Labor market tightness and its implications for monetary policy
Never since the 1940s have so many U.S. job openings coincided with so few job seekers. This help explain why the Fed is likely to continue its hawkishly cautious stance.
Monetary aggregates can help increase accuracy in inflation forecasts. It is nice to see such ideas finally catching on again, but don’t get carried away either.
Manufacturing & Digital recession = S&P 500 profit recession, but not for jobs