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By: Björn Jesch
Our monthly market analysis and positioning
For a change, Europe’s banking sector appears in reasonably good shape. That’s good news, not least as supranational decision-making remains fragmented.
By: David Bianco
Washer set to deep clean: Beware alternating rotations, drain could reopen
Europe’s banks and U.S. real estate – an unhealthy relationship once again questioned by markets.
Supplementary capital - AT1 - gained unexpected notoriety this week. This may make banks position themselves more solidly even without regulatory pressure.
The Fed stuck to its inflation-fighting script yesterday, pointing to other tools available for fighting market stress. Markets didn’t really appreciate it – but it does suit our script.
With inflation likely to remain sticky and unpredictable, both listed and non-listed real estate look like increasingly reasonable alternatives to other asset classes.
Getting Past the Panic: Mend capital availability, then capital costs
Immediate concerns alleviated, new concerns arise
Far fewer companies use ‘shadow’ internal water prices than carbon prices to guide business decisions.
Tensions that may ultimately help bring down inflation
Further tightening required: Fed Funds rate ex-ceeding 5% raises many risks
Will Silicon Valley Bank’s insolvency spill over into broader markets?
All forecasts at a glance
